Friday, 30 August 2024
The Bedouin.
Thursday, 22 August 2024
Cemeteries.
An
editorial in yesterday’s edition of the Jerusalem Post stated
unequivocally that Hamas's intransigence is preventing the war in Gaza from
ending.
“It’s
not Israel that is holding up a deal that would bring some of the hostages back
home; it’s Hamas.”
Secretary
of State Anthony Blinken made a determined effort to draw Hamas fully into the
latest round of negotiations, “It’s now incumbent on Hamas to do the same [as
Israel]. And then the parties, with the help of the mediators the United
States, Egypt and Qatar, have to come together and complete the process of
reaching clear understandings about how they’ll implement commitments that
they’ve made under this agreement,” Blinken said.
Details
of the bridging agreement that have been leaked in various media reports
indicated that Israel has gone as far as it can in its insistence on
maintaining a presence in the two critical Gaza security corridors of
Philadelphi and Netzarim.
US
President Joe Biden accused Hamas of “backing away” from the plan during his
speech Monday night at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago.
The
Jerusalem Post editorial summed up saying. “We thank them for standing
with Israel and for confirming over the last 24 hours that it’s not Israel that
is holding up a deal that would bring some of the hostages back home; it’s
Hamas.”
A margin note “The Jerusalem Post
professes to be in the Israeli political centre, yet it is widely considered
to be on the political right.”
CNN
reported from Doha, Qatar that US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said
Tuesday that despite reported comments from Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel has agreed to withdrawals of IDF forces from
Gaza that are laid out in the recent mediators’ proposal to get
closer to a ceasefire agreement with Hamas.
“The
agreement is very clear on the schedule and the locations of IDF withdrawals
from Gaza, and Israel has agreed to that,” said Blinken in remarks to reporters
before departing Qatar.
Blinken
was responding to Israeli media reports that Netanyahu told a group of families
of terror victims and hostages that he conveyed to Blinken that Israel will not
leave the Philadelphi corridor along the Egypt-Gaza border and the
Netzarim corridor, which bisects Gaza, “regardless of the pressure to
do so.” They are “strategic military and political assets,” Netanyahu added,
according to the reports.
Margin
note: Netanyahu is not averse to “talking out of both sides of his mouth.”
Blinken
said that Netanyahu told him directly in their meeting that Israel agreed to
“the bridging proposal and thus the detailed plan” for withdrawal.
Back
to the main text: -
Defence
minister Yoav Galant and other Likud Knesset members tend to agree with Blinken
and remain at odds with the prime minister.
It’s
appropriate at this juncture to conclude by adding something else unearthed in
Gaza.
Earlier
this week, the BBC and other British news outlets reported that Israeli
forces operating in Gaza discovered a seven-page document dated October 5,
2022.
The
document outlined Hamas’s intention to pressure the UK government into
reversing its stance on Jerusalem following then-Prime Minister Liz Truss's
announcement to relocate the British embassy from Tel Aviv.
The
planned coercive measures threatened in the document include exhuming the remains
of British soldiers buried in Gaza.
The
Commonwealth War Graves Commission (CWGC) has maintained a cemetery in Gaza for
over a century, containing the remains of more than 3,000 Commonwealth troops
from the World Wars. Many of these soldiers died in 1917, fighting the Ottomans
during a conflict that led to British rule in Palestine.
Other
demands included paying "lease fees" for the cemetery land dating
back to 1917. The document warns that if the UK does not comply, the bodies
would be removed and held "hostage."
Though
predating the current war, the threat outlined in the document is definitely
real.
There’s
another CWGC cemetery a crow’s fly away in Be’er- Sheva.
1,241
Commonwealth soldiers (973 British, 173 Australian, 31 New Zealanders and 1
Indian) are buried there. They fought and died in the battles over Gaza and
Be'er-Sheva during World War I. During the battle a force numbering 40,000 infantrymen
attacked Be’er Sheva capturing Turkish trenches west of the town. In the
meanwhile, approximately 800 mounted forces (after a long flanking movement)
fought east of the town and after a whole day of fighting the Australian Light
Horse charged the Turkish defences just before sunset and liberated
Be'er-Sheva.
When
I visited the cemetery many years ago, I looked for and found the grave of
Seymour van den Bergh, an English Jew who fell in battle five days before the
liberation of Be'er-Sheva.
While
paging down through the account of the two cemeteries I recalled something I
had written about a remarkable discovery in an industrial site near Acco
(Acre). Work clearing the site was impeded by a small burial plot containing
four graves. The plot was very old and the graves appeared to be Muslim graves.
However, archaeologists from the Israeli antiquities department sent to
investigate the site suspected that the graves weren’t authentic. On
examination one grave contained a skeleton with a missing leg and arm. The
discovery provided the answer to the mystery of the last resting place of
Louis-Marie-Joseph-Maximilian Caffarelli du Falga a French officer who fought
in Napoleon’s Egyptian campaign. Caffarelli lost his leg in an earlier battle
but I’m told Napoleon refused to pension off his best military cartographer. At
one of the assaults on Acco a musket ball shattered Caffarelli’s right arm and
the army surgeon had to amputate it. The wound was infected and gangrene set
in. A few days later he died. Knowing that the Arabs were inclined to desecrate
French military graves, Cafferelli and three other French soldiers were
interred with Muslim style headstones.
The
Israeli government traced descendants of the hapless Cafferelli and they were
brought to a ceremony commemorating the death of their long dead ancestor. “Vive
la difference.”
Have
a good weekend.
Beni,
22nd of August, 2024.
Thursday, 15 August 2024
The dogs bark, but the caravan moves on.
“The
dogs bark, but the caravan moves on.”
The
saying, found in many Eurasian languages, probably originated in Turkish
(it
ürür, kervan yürür), where it rhymes.
It aptly fits a modern-day saying: “News items have a very short shelf life.”
That
being said, the IDF strike on Gaza City's Al-Taba’een School compound, has been
unduly criticised /condemned. Nevertheless, it still is a newsworthy item.
The
IDF said that its intelligence indicated that there were no women and children
at the Gaza City school it targeted on Saturday, which it claimed was being
used as a Hamas command centre. Predictably, Hamas claimed that nearly 100
people were killed in the strike.
At
this juncture I want to insert a margin note; Past experience has taught us
that Hamas, the Gaza health ministry. UNRWA and other authorities in the Gaza enclave,
are subservient to Hamas. The numbers they quote - fatalities and injured, are
highly exaggerated
Back
to the main text: -
IDF
Spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari in an English-language video statement says -“Increasingly
in recent months Hamas has focused on exploiting school buildings, often where
civilians are sheltering inside, to use them as military facilities, command
and control centres, for storing weapons, and to conduct terrorist attacks,”
Another
spokesman added that the IDF has carried out a precision strike on a building
in Gaza City's Al-Taba’een School compound, targeting terrorist threats
identified by its military intelligence unit (8200). The strike, aimed at a
specific building used by Hamas, was conducted with efforts to minimise
civilian casualties, as no women or children were present, according to IDF
sources. The action underscores ongoing operations against Hamas and
accusations that the group exploits civilian infrastructure for its activities.
The
White House said it was "deeply concerned" about an Israeli airstrike
on a Gaza City school compound on Saturday. The US statement came
after condemnation of the attack from several Arab states, Turkey, Britain and
the European Union's foreign policy chief.
"Yet
again, far too many civilians have been killed," Vice President and
Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris told reporters separately on
Saturday while also reiterating calls for a Gaza ceasefire.
"We
are deeply concerned about reports of civilian casualties in Gaza following a
strike by the Israel Defence Forces on a compound that included a school."
the White House said in a statement, adding Washington was in touch with Israel
to seek more information.
"We
know Hamas has been using schools as locations to gather and operate out of,
but we have also said repeatedly and consistently that Israel must take
measures to minimize civilian harm," the White House added.
The
U.S. comments followed condemnation of the attack from Egypt, Qatar, the United
Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Turkey. EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell
said he was horrified by the images from the school, while British foreign
minister David Lammy said he was "appalled" by the strike.
Hamas
terrorists use Gaza schools as refuges, and refugees as human shields
Thousands
of Palestinians have found refuge in Gaza's schools, despite poor conditions
and severe overcrowding; however, the increasing use of UN facilities by Hamas
operatives for terror activities has led to a corresponding rise in IDF
airstrikes.
Israeli
officials have said they will take steps to limit civilian casualties, but it
fell to a Pentagon official, Dana Stroul, to provide more details during a
hearing before the House Foreign Affairs Committee on the Israeli-Gaza war.
"They
(the IDF) have dropped 1.5 million leaflets in Gaza asking civilians to
evacuate," Stroul said. "They have sent over hundreds of thousands of
text messages and made phone calls to cell phones. In our conversations
with the Israel Defence Forces they have made clear they assess collateral
damage estimates before they attack.”
While
the IDF announced on Saturday that 19 terrorists were eliminated in the attack
Gaza City's Al-Taba’een School compound, the Shin Bet (General Security Services)
and Military Intelligence have confirmed that the number of terrorists
eliminated in the attack is 38.
Security
forces are continuing their assessments, and the number may increase.
Ahead
of the attack, the Shin Bet provided precise intelligence on a specific
building within the school complex, which had effectively become a terrorist
headquarters hiding dozens of Hamas and Islamic Jihad terrorists.
Once
it was confirmed no children or women were inside the building, the decision
was made to target it.
Throughout
the war, Hamas and Islamic Jihad have turned school buildings, clinics,
hospitals, mosques, and international aid organisation facilities into
terrorist headquarters after the IDF destroyed their infrastructures.
Israel
has achieved all it can in its military campaign against Hamas in Gaza, several
US officials told the New York Times in an article published Thursday,
saying that the Israel Defence Forces would never be able to completely
eradicate the terror group.
The report, citing
current and former US and Israeli officials, said that only a deal, not
military pressure, could secure the release of the remaining 115 living and
dead captives in Gaza.
Still,
the report said, Israel’s Gaza offensive has achieved far more against Hamas
than US officials had predicted in October.
“Israel
has been able to disrupt Hamas, kill a number of their leaders and largely
reduce the threat to Israel that existed before October 7,” Gen. Joseph L.
Votel, the former head of US CENTCOM, told the Times, adding that Hamas has
been “diminished.”
The
report came as CIA director William Burns was set to arrive in Qatar Thursday
for renewed hostages-for-ceasefire talks. Amos Hochstein, the White House’s
special Middle East adviser, said in Beirut Wednesday that a deal “would
prevent an outbreak of a wider war.” Both officials were expected to relay the
message that Israel cannot do anything more against Hamas militarily, the Times
said.
"Hamas
is a terrorist organisation — for them, just surviving is victory,” said Dana
Stroul. “They will continue to reconstitute and pop up after the IDF says they
have cleared an area without follow-on plans for security and governance in
Gaza.”
I
tend to agree with her.
Beni,
15th
of August, 2024.
Friday, 9 August 2024
Still Concerned.
Barely
a week a week ago the USNI (US Navy Institute) News
reported
on recent US aircraft carriers and their accompanying strike groups movements
in the near east. The replacement of one carrier strike group by another is
often regarded as routine procedure. However, the current movement of US forces
differs considerably from normal routine procedure.
“West
Coast carrier USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) is setting sail to
the Middle East from the Pacific to relieve the carrier USS Theodore
Roosevelt (CVN-71) and its strike group. Meanwhile, the Navy is
sending additional ships to the region following threats from Iran, Pentagon
officials announced on Friday evening.
To maintain a carrier strike group presence in the Middle East, Secretary of
Defense Lloyd Austin has ordered the Lincoln Carrier Strike Group to replace
the Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group, currently on deployment in the
Central Command area of responsibility,” reads the Pentagon statement.
The
Secretary of Defense, “has ordered additional
ballistic missile defense-capable cruisers and destroyers to the U.S. European
Command and U.S. Central Command regions. The Department is also taking steps
to increase our readiness to deploy additional land-based ballistic missile
defense units.”
The
U.S. moves to bolster military presence in the Eastern Mediterranean and the
Middle East follows reports that Iranian military officials and proxy forces in
Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen will meet to discuss options to retaliate against
Israel following the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.”
“A
senior Iranian official told newswire Reuters that Iran and
the resistance members will conduct a thorough assessment after the meeting in
Tehran to find the best and most effective way to retaliate against [Israel],”
“The
Secretary of Defense has reiterated that the United States will protect our
personnel and interests in the region, including our ironclad commitment to the
defense of Israel,” the statement from the Pentagon clarified.”
Secretary
of Defense Austin’s statement alone is an exercise in “projecting power.”
Now
while Secretary of Defense Austin’s remarks are reassuring, Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu’s clash with President Joe Biden as reported by Israel TV
Channel 12 earlier this week, is worrying, to say the least.
Netanyahu told
Biden, "We are making progress with the negotiations and will send a
delegation to Cairo for that purpose."
Biden's
blunt reply was: "Stop bullshitting me."
In
addition to the tense exchange between Netanyahu and US officials, new
information has surfaced about Netanyahu's discussions with Israeli security
leaders. IDF Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi told Netanyahu, "There are
conditions for the deal. I believe it is right to enter negotiations and
achieve the best possible outcome.
Defence
Minister Yoav Gallant joined the discussion, stating, "For all moral and
strategic reasons, I think we should see the deal as an opportunity. There will
be no deal under the conditions you set, and you know it. There is no security
reason to delay the deal. Since we are speaking honestly, I will tell you that
your considerations are not in the best interest of the matter."
Referring
to the Israeli delegation sent to a meeting in Cairo, sources familiar with the
hostage deal negotiations told Israel TV Channel 12, "This is a protocol
trip, a waste of time. Netanyahu's current positions will not lead to real
progress."
Following
these reports, the Prime Minister's bureau reiterated its statement that
Netanyahu expects the US not to interfere in Israeli politics.
"The
leaks and false briefings from anonymous sources in the media are creating a
misleading impression for the public," it said. "While Prime Minister
Netanyahu has agreed to the outline, Hamas is attempting to introduce numerous
changes that effectively nullify it.
In
an interview with TIME Prime Minister Netanyahu was asked about his
accountability for October 7, given that the heads of Israel's defense
establishment have apologized for their role, Netanyahu evaded the question saying-
“Now is not the time to deal with this question. Apologize? Of course, I am
deeply sorry that something like this happened." Adding that
"there'll be enough time to deal with it. But, I think that dealing with
it now is a mistake. We're in the midst of a war, a seven-front war. I think we
have to concentrate on one thing: winning," he said.
Despite
the disagreement between the prime minister and the Israeli defence and security
echelon regarding Hamas, Israel could pre-emptively strike Iran if intelligence
shows that an attack is imminent.
Hebrew
language news media reported that Prime Minister Netanyahu convened Israel’s
security chiefs for a meeting on Sunday evening.
The
meeting, attended by Defence Minister Yoav Gallant, IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen.
Herzi Halevi, Mossad head David Barnea and Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar, was held
amid preparations for anticipated attacks on Israel by Iran and Hezbollah.
Israel
is not certain what to expect from Iran and its proxies. A wide range of
options as to how it can best respond to, or prevent, an anticipated assault
were reviewed.
During
the meeting with Netanyahu, the option of a pre-emptive strike against Iran was
discussed, Ynet reported that although security officials stressed that
such a move would only be authorised if Israel received definite intelligence
confirming that Iran was about to launch an attack.
Israel
would require its own intelligence on the issue to match up with US
intelligence on the matter, the report said, and even if it did match, it may
still choose to avoid going down the route of a pre-emptive strike. It’s likely
that Israel would opt to persuade the US to muster a multi-nation defence group
similar to the array that foiled the Iran-led attack on April13.
It
stands to reason that Iran is hesitant to act impulsively
The
explosive device that killed Ismail Haniyeh was placed two months ago in the
house, which is run and protected by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
(IRGC), according to The New York Times, which cited seven Middle
Eastern officials, including two Iranians, and an American.
A
source who spoke on condition of anonymity confirmed the report to The
Telegraph.
The
bomb was detonated remotely when it was confirmed that the Hamas
leader was inside the guesthouse. Haniyeh had apparently stayed at the
guest house several times in the past.
Two
IRGC officials said the explosion shook the building, and shattered some
windows. The severe security breach was described as “catastrophic” and a
“tremendous embarrassment” for the IRGC, according to the three Iranian
officials.
"Iran
is reconsidering its steps, even as the circumstances surrounding the killing
of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran last week are gradually emerging. The ‘perpetrators’,
according to Washington Post analyst David Ignatius, used an explosive
device planted in Haniyeh's room at a guest house operated by the Iranian
Revolutionary Guards – not by means of a missile fired from a long distance.
Somehow, according to the unwritten rules of the game in the Middle East, this
is probably seen as less of a provocation in the eyes of the regime." According
to Amos Harel Haaretz.
Hezbollah may attack Israel on its own, regardless of Iran. Whether or not Hassan
Nasrallah heeds the warning, Israel promises a disproportionate response if
Hezbollah fires on civilians.
Nasrallah’s ‘spider web
simile likening Israel’s strength to no more than the blown-in-the-wind strands
of a spider’s web, is no more than bravado echoing from the depths of his
underground bunker.
Take care,
Beni,
8th of August,
2024.
Thursday, 1 August 2024
Concerned, but confident.
In an opinion piece he wrote for the Council on Foreign Relations, Steven A. Cook asked, “Are Israel and Iran Headed for All Out War?”
He reasoned that the killing of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran and the targeted assassination of Fuad Shukr a military advisor to Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut, are liable to bring Israel and Iran, (through its proxies) closer to war.
“Do the attacks in Beirut and Tehran signal a wider Israeli war with Iran and its proxies?
This is now more likely. The Israelis have been under attack from Iranian proxies since October 7. In recent weeks, the IDF has clearly gone on the offensive with a raid on the port of Hodeida in Yemen that is controlled by the Houthis, the strike on Tuesday that killed Hezbollah military official (aka terrorist) Fuad Shukr in Beirut, and the overnight assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.
The Israelis—who have not yet taken responsibility for the Haniyeh assassination—are demonstrating both technical prowess and that they are serious about “changing the rules of the game” with the axis of resistance. Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has vowed to avenge Haniyeh’s assassination, carried out after the inauguration of the new Iranian president in Tehran. There is little doubt that Hezbollah will also want to avenge the killing of Fuad Shukr. The Houthis will likely take part in any retaliation that Iran plans. Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis, as well as militias in both Iraq and Syria under the auspices of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), make up Iran’s axis of resistance. The IRGC leadership has, since at least mid-2023, encouraged coordination among those groups. The conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza has at times provided opportunity for this collaboration.”
“Does the Haniyeh killing effectively end current efforts to reach a cease-fire in Gaza?
Yes. The Qatari prime minister, Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, posted on X shortly after the attack on Haniyeh that it was impossible to negotiate a cease-fire if one party is assassinating the negotiators of the other party. There is a self-serving quality to his statement, however. The Qataris proved incapable of convincing Hamas to agree to a cease-fire through many months of negotiation. In addition, it seems clear that the Israelis were quite serious when they declared the entire Hamas leadership is a ‘dead man walking.’ The killing of Hamas military chief Mohmmed Deif and now the confirmed killing of Haniyeh underscore that the Israelis mean what they say. Regardless of whatever negotiations were taking place—most recently in Rome—the Israelis were intent on exacting revenge and breaking Hamas.
The triggering event for this week’s escalation appears to be a missile attack on civilians in the Golan Heights that Israeli officials attribute to Hezbollah. What happened there?
Israel and Lebanon-based Hezbollah have been engaged in a low-level conflict that has grown bolder and more deadly (mostly on the Lebanese side) in recent months. Hezbollah had been targeting Israeli military bases in the Golan Heights, when an apparently errant rocket struck the soccer field in Majdal Shams, a major Druze town killing 12 youths and injuring many others.
With the strike on Fuad Shukr, the Israelis wanted to send a strong message to the Hezbollah leadership that they are both vulnerable and that the IDF, despite months of combat, has the ability to inflict significant damage on Hezbollah’s Beirut stronghold. There is political pressure within Israel to take a more muscular approach too, both in response to the incident in Majdal Shams and more generally to resolve the grave threat Hezbollah poses to Israeli communities near the Israel-Lebanon border.”
“How can current tensions be de-escalated?” Cook pondered.
“No doubt, U.S. diplomats and others active in the effort to negotiate an end to the Israel-Hamas war will do their best to try to avert an intensification of the regional conflict underway, but they will likely fail. The Iranians are vowing to avenge Haniyeh’s death and the Israelis are daring them and their proxies to strike. This is an unpredictable moment. It seems quite unlikely the actors will pull back from a devastating fight. This is the war for which they have all been preparing.”
I hasten to add that Steven A. Cook is a highly respected near-east affairs commentator. Fellow experts don’t necessarily agree with him.
Most of the bellicose rhetoric is emanating from Iran and its proxies. Israel invariably adopts its time-tested policy of ‘ambiguity’ regarding attacks attributed to the IDF, its security and military intelligence forces.
Just the same, there is no room for complacency! We are more cautious than usual, but not deterred from continuing our daily routine.
The current tension along our northern border brought to mind an almost forgotten cross-border incident.
In 1959 when I first arrived at the Hachshara farm near Shepparton, Victoria, Australia, I heard the story from a woman who in her teens was personally involved in the incident.
Margin note- In case you don’t know, Hachshara is a Hebrew word that literally means "preparation". The term is used for training programmes and agricultural centres in Europe and elsewhere. At these centres Zionist youth and young adults would learn vocational skills necessary for their Aliya to Israel and subsequent life in kibbutzim. Today they have largely been superseded by year programmes in Israel.
Shoshana and Dov Agmon were shlichim (emissaries) to Hashomer Hatzair in Australia. Shoshana recounted how in the early 1940’s she participated in a Hashomer Hatzair hike near the Lebanese border. At that time the border wasn’t clearly marked and without knowing it the group wandered into Lebanon. Before long they were spotted by a Lebanese border police patrol and arrested.
At this juncture I want to add a margin note: While the British Mandate for Palestine left hardly any cultural imprint when it ended in1948, the French Mandate for Lebanon has left a considerable cultural impact. As of 2004, some 20% of the population used French on a daily basis.
Back to Shoshana and her fellow hikers in Lebanon. Their predicament was somewhat alleviated when the French speaking Lebanese border gendarmes insisted on carrying the girls’ backpacks. Following a brief internment the British Liaison authority managed to secure the hikers release and they returned home without further event.
About eight years ago I met Shoshana again when I visited my sister-in-law at Sde Nitzan in the Gaza periphery area. She was surprised that I remembered the incident in Lebanon. When I inquired after her recently, I heard that she died four years ago. Blessed be her memory.
Beni,
1st of August, 2024.